Links and Notes - Fri, Mar 13, 2020

1:37 p.m.

We experienced some rain last night. Today, it's sunny, cool, and windy. Howling winds. Barney and I walked this morning.

Toledo Express Airport (KTOL)
Mar 13, 2020 12:52 pm EDT
Weather : A Few Clouds and Breezy
Temperature : 46 F
Humidity : 40%
Wind Speed : W 23 mph
Wind Gust 41 mph
Barometer : 30.10 in
Dewpoint: 23 F
Visibility : 10.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 38 F

Toledo Executive Airport (KTDZ)
Mar 13, 2020 12:53 pm EDT
Weather : A Few Clouds and Breezy
Temperature : 48 F
Humidity : 42%
Wind Speed : WSW 23 mph
Wind Gust 32 mph
Barometer : 30.10 in
Dewpoint: 26 F
Visibility : 10.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 40 F

Toledo Suburban Airport (KDUH)
Mar 13, 2020 1:15 pm EDT
Weather : Partly Cloudy
Temperature : 46 F
Humidity : 47%
Wind Speed : W 18 mph
Wind Gust 28 mph
Barometer : 30.10 in
Dewpoint: 27 F
Visibility : 10.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 39 F


Toledo 7-day forecast

Last Update: Mar 13, 2020 9:35 am

This Afternoon: Sunny, with a high near 46. Breezy, with a west wind around 21 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph.

Tonight: Increasing clouds, with a low around 32. West wind 5 to 13 mph.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. Light north wind.

Saturday Night: Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 29. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph.

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 42. Northeast wind 8 to 10 mph.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 26.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 49.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36.

Tuesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 55.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 55.

Wednesday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Thursday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Links

https://slate.com/business/2020/03/coronavirus-goodbye-to-the-before-times.html

We’re Not Going Back to the Way Life Was Before

Thanks to the coronavirus, the future may arrive earlier than expected.

I doubt that, but we will know for sure later. Let's check back one year from now.


Gitlab's Guide to All-Remote (gitlab.com)
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22554527

Dressing for the Surveillance Age (newyorker.com)
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22536506

https://www.toledoblade.com/sports/ut/2020/03/12/toledo-rockets-basketball-teams-left-to-wonder-what-if-mac-tournament-coronavirus/stories/20200312153

https://www.toledoblade.com/sports/mud-hens/2020/03/12/start-of-toledo-mud-hens-2020-season-will-be-delayed/stories/20200312165

https://www.toledoblade.com/business/stock-market/2020/03/12/worst-day-on-Wall-Street-since-1987-as-virus-fears-spread-1/stories/20200312146

http://www.toledoblade.com/local/city/2020/03/12/toledo-lucas-county-officials-tell-public-to-take-proactive-measures-not-panic-over-coronavirus/stories/20200312121

http://www.toledoblade.com/opinion/letters-to-the-editor/2020/03/13/help-tarta-drive-toledo-future-public-transportation-kimberly-dunham/stories/20200313006

http://www.toledoblade.com/opinion/editorials/2020/03/13/gross-overreach-privacy-dna-testing-site-patriot-act/stories/20200311142


http://www.toledoblade.com/opinion/editorials/2020/03/13/strategy-five-issue-one-toledo-road-construction-income-tax-levy/stories/20200310157

The distrust too many Toledoans have for their city government is rooted in insider deals and backroom bargains that they neither see nor hear anything about.

Campaigning for the Kapszukiewicz administration’s Issue 1 income-tax-increasing levy has been a big task. So much so that the political action committee tasked with that job spent $165,000 on political consulting from a firm called Strategy Five.

Who’s behind Strategy Five? It doesn’t have a website or a phone listing. Even Mayor Wade Kapszukiewicz claimed he knew of only one of the five people working there, his adviser, David Mann.

But Blade reporting has revealed that the firm is made up of five politically connected Democrats, all of whom work for the city, Lucas County, the Lucas County Democratic Party, or are running campaigns this election cycle.

Strategy Five’s members are Mr. Mann, president and CEO of the Lucas County Land Bank and an unpaid policy adviser for the mayor; Karen Poore, deputy chief of staff for the mayor; Alex Huguelet, chief deputy clerk at Toledo Municipal Court and treasurer for the Lucas County Democratic Party; Leah Michael, a local attorney; and Molly Luetke, an account manager at Madhouse Creative.

The revelation has prompted howls of protest from critics who rightly think there is something fishy about paying a firm of insiders $165,000 to promote a levy that will generate more revenue for the local government where many of them work.

Also, it is worth pointing out that the money spent on Strategy Five’s services came from a private campaign fund to promote Issue 1, not any pool of taxpayer money. But if this was all on the up and up, then why be so shadowy?

Why would the mayor claim — absurdly — that he did not know who four-fifths of these people are?

This mayor spent $165,000 with a local political consulting firm to promote his administration’s levy without knowing who was doing that work?

Spending $165,000 in PAC money to push a tax-increase levy with a largely under-the-radar group of insiders smacks of such dirty dealing.

It may not be against the law, but it’s not above board.


http://www.toledoblade.com/opinion/editorials/2020/03/12/fight-fake-news-facebook-2020-election-misleading-content/stories/20200311124

https://www.toledolibrary.org/blog/civic-literacy-and-your-library

http://www.toledoblade.com/opinion/letters-to-the-editor/2020/03/11/hypocrisy-hits-roads-toledo-road-construction-income-tax-levy/stories/20200311031

Ask HN: Was the Y2K crisis real?
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22556156

Signs you're following a fake Twitter account (nixintel.info)
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22556336

https://www.wired.com/story/covid-19-is-nothing-like-the-spanish-flu/
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22569435

Chelsea Manning ordered to be released [pdf] (courtlistener.com)
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22562041

Show HN: Encourage children to use the net more 4 learning with Pihole 5beta (github.com)
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22564142


High Temperature and High Humidity Reduce the Transmission of Covid-19 (ssrn.com)
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22563932

But not by enough. This epidemic has a growth rate (R) of at least 2. The article claims "One degree Celsius increase in temperature and one percent increase in relative humidity lower R by 0.0383 and 0.0224, respectively." The March to July difference for New York City is only 19C. San Francisco, 9C. For both cities, humidity is relatively uniform year round. Even assuming this result is meaningful, it still leaves an R way above 1.


Coronavirus: Some recovered patients may have reduced lung function (scmp.com)
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22568100

Ohio health official estimates 100,000 people in state have coronavirus (thehill.com)
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22562435

Why soap works so well on most viruses (threadreaderapp.com)
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22557065

Design like it’s 1999 (vasilis.nl)
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22553401
https://exclusive-design.vasilis.nl/design-like-its-1999/

I Don't Use Classes (atomicobject.com)
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22555938
https://spin.atomicobject.com/2020/03/12/why-i-dont-use-classes/#.Xmom-cfXe3U.hackernews


Court outlaws German Weather Service's free weather app (dw.com)
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22562329
https://www.dw.com/en/court-outlaws-german-weather-services-free-weather-app/a-52735502

This is whacked.

HN comment:

The German Weather Service (DWD) will no longer be allowed to provide general weather forecasts in a free mobile phone app. … [DWD] will only be permitted to offer extreme weather warnings for free and … a DWD app offering general weather forecasts must contain advertisements or be purchased by users.

The government service is forced to put ads in its free app. WTF?


Late tonight at Drudge Report:

CDC NIGHTMARE SCENARIO: 1.7 MILLION DEATHS...
Hospitals brace for 'tremendous strain'...
Six patients for every bed?
Survivors may suffer from reduced lung function...
Testing lag ignites political uproar...
PRESIDENT: 'I don't take responsibility at all'...
Blames Obama...
Tough measures rolled out across Europe to stop spread...
The new epicenter...
STOCKS POST BIGGEST RALLY SINCE '08!
S&P 500 Had Choppiest Week Since Hoover Was President...
Countries Curb Short Selling...
Mnuchin vows to keep markets open...
National Guard activated...
IT'S AN EMERGENCY
TRUMP TO BE TESTED
COMPLETE SHUTDOWN ON TABLE
MODERN LIFE TURNS SURREAL
SICK MAP
The Internet Can't Save Us From Loneliness in Pandemic... Coronavirus Will Change How We Shop, Travel and Work for Years...
Mexico frets about U.S. spread, could restrict border..

Drive-thru testing begins...

So Popular Had To Be Shut Down...

4 hour wait in Denver!

PHOTOS: Run on grocery stores in NYC...

DELTA slashes flights by 40%...

Life upended...

POLL: Two-thirds concerned about contracting...

Sex Workers Facing Increasingly Risky Conditions...

BUCHANAN: Will virus kill New World Order?

Coronavirus vs Constitution? When liberties meet a pandemic...

How to Enforce Lockdowns...

If Police Officers Get It, Who Will Patrol Streets?

Isolation psychological impact long-lasting...

They survived. Then they tested positive again. Why? Hollywood Thrust Into Real-Life Medical Drama...

Musicians Play in Empty Halls for Audiences Online...

Post Malone Show Goes On; Fans 'Live Every Day Like It's Last'... USA summoning Chinese ambassador over Beijing comments...

Internet Users Foil Censors to Keep Wuhan Doctor's Interview Online...

Companies that feed America brace for labor shortages amid worry about restocking stores...

NOONAN: 'Don't Panic' Is Rotten Advice...

Virus Can last a few days on surfaces...

Children less sick from COVID-19, but still spread...

Is God unhappy with Mankind?

'Christ in quarantine'...

Rome Walks Back Church Closings...

Religious services curbed across Mideast...


https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/13/us/coronavirus-deaths-estimate.html

Worst-Case Estimates for U.S. Coronavirus Deaths

Projections based on C.D.C. scenarios show a potentially vast toll. But those numbers don’t account for interventions now underway.

Officials at the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and epidemic experts from universities around the world conferred last month about what might happen if the new coronavirus gained a foothold in the United States. How many people might die? How many would be infected and need hospitalization?

One of the agency’s top disease modelers, Matthew Biggerstaff, presented the group on the phone call with four possible scenarios — A, B, C and D — based on characteristics of the virus, including estimates of how transmissible it is and the severity of the illness it can cause. The assumptions, reviewed by The New York Times, were shared with about 50 expert teams to model how the virus could tear through the population — and what might stop it.

The C.D.C.’s scenarios were depicted in terms of percentages of the population. Translated into absolute numbers by independent experts using simple models of how viruses spread, the worst-case figures would be staggering if no actions were taken to slow transmission.

Between 160 million and 214 million people in the United States could be infected over the course of the epidemic, according to one projection. That could last months or even over a year, with infections concentrated in shorter periods, staggered across time in different communities, experts said. As many as 200,000 to 1.7 million people could die.

And, the calculations based on the C.D.C.’s scenarios suggested, 2.4 million to 21 million people in the United States could require hospitalization, potentially crushing the nation’s medical system, which has only about 925,000 staffed hospital beds. Fewer than a tenth of those are for people who are critically ill.

Dr. Lawler recently presented his own “best guess” projections to American hospital and health system executives at a private webinar convened by the American Hospital Association. He estimated that some 96 million people in the United States would be infected. Five out of every hundred would need hospitalization, which would mean close to five million hospital admissions, nearly two million of those patients requiring intensive care and about half of those needing the support of ventilators.

Dr. Lawler’s calculations suggested 480,000 deaths, which he said was conservative. By contrast, about 20,000 to 50,000 people have died from flu-related illnesses this season, according to the C.D.C. Unlike with seasonal influenza, the entire population is thought to be susceptible to the new coronavirus.

A preliminary study released on Wednesday by the Institute for Disease Modeling projected that in the Seattle area, enhancing social distancing — limiting contact with groups of people — by 75 percent could reduce deaths caused by infections acquired in the next month from 400 to 30 in the region.


http://www.toledoblade.com/news/medical/2020/03/13/michigan-reaches-25-coronavirus-cases-bans-gatherings-of-250-or-more/stories/20200313163

For most people, the virus causes only mild or moderate symptoms, such as fever and cough. For some, especially older adults and people with existing health problems, it can cause more severe illness, including pneumonia. The vast majority of people recover from the virus.

http://www.toledoblade.com/news/medical/2020/03/13/Mercy-Health-officials-ask-people-not-to-visit-hospitals-amid-coronavirus-concerns/stories/20200313117