Links and Notes - Fri, Apr 5, 2019

3:26 p.m.

Apr 5, 2019 2:52 pm EDT
Weather : Overcast
Temperature : 62 F
Humidity : 48%
Wind Speed : NW 9 mph
Barometer : 30.07 in
Dewpoint: 42 F
Visibility : 10.00 statute miles

Date and Time: 03:15 PM, Fri, Apr 05, 2019
Summary: Mostly Cloudy
Air Temp: 57 F
Dew Point: 42 F
Humidity: 56 %
Wind Direction: Southeast
Wind Speed: 1 mph
Wind Gust: 3 mph
Apparent Air Temp: F
Pressure: 30.09 inches
UV Index: Moderate : 3.0
Cloud Cover: 87 % : Mostly Cloudy
Precip Probability: 0 %
Precip Intensity: 0.0 : No Precip
Precip Type:
Visibility: 4.67 miles
Nearest Precip Distance: 130 miles
Nearest Precip Bearing: East

8:52 a.m.

25 years ago today, Kurt Cobain committed suicide. I was a big Nirvana fan. I still am. Kurt would have turned 52-years-old back in February.

7:27 a.m.

Mild temps in the 50s to near 60 are forecast today, although an east wind is expected. It will be a light east wind, but it will be cooler near the lake.

The warmest stretch of weather is forecast for the upcoming days. Temps in the 60s are expected for tomorrow, Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday. That will spur the flora to grow.

We plan to go birdwatching on Sunday along the lakeshore for ducks and for songbirds on the Magee Marsh boardwalk. Sunday's forecast:

Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. East wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

It's always best to keep winter-like garb in the car until mid-May because of the micro-climate that exists along the lakeshore.

It might reach the mid-60s well inland at Toledo Express Airport, but it even with a light east wind, it will be colder at Magee Marsh.

On sunny, warm days at this time of the year with light winds, a chilly, stiff onshore breeze can kick in around Noon or early afternoon, dropping temps along the lakeshore by 20 degrees.

Tomorrow's forecast:

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 65. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.

If enough sunshine exists, and since it's only the first week of April, people visiting the shoreline tomorrow with warm weather garb because the temps or the forecast will be in for a shock when the onshore breeze starts.

The Lake Erie water temp off Toledo is 42 degrees.

Nothing noteworthy is forecast for our area in the upcoming days by the Storm Prediction Center. Sunday afternoon and Sunday night are the best chances for thunderstorms.

Toledo Express Airport (KTOL)
Apr 5, 2019 6:52 am EDT
Weather : Overcast
Temperature : 39 F
Humidity : 79%
Wind Speed : ENE 9 mph
Barometer : 30.13 in
Dewpoint: 33 F
Visibility : 10.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 33 F

Toledo Executive Airport (KTDZ)
Apr 5, 2019 6:53 am EDT
Weather : Overcast
Temperature : 39 F
Humidity : 82%
Wind Speed : ENE 8 mph
Barometer : 30.15 in
Dewpoint: 34 F
Visibility : 10.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 33 F

Toledo Suburban Airport (KDUH)
Apr 5, 2019 6:55 am EDT
Weather : Overcast
Temperature : 38 F
Humidity : 89%
Wind Speed : E 6 mph
Barometer : 30.14 in
Dewpoint: 35 F
Visibility : 10.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 33 F

Toledo 7-day forecast
Last Update: Apr 5, 2019 6:41 am

Today: A slight chance of showers before 8am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57. East wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. Light south wind.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 65. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. East wind 5 to 7 mph.

Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. East wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 9pm. Cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Monday: Showers likely, mainly before 9am. Cloudy, with a high near 68. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 37.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 50.

Wednesday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Thursday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
712 am edt fri apr 5 2019

weak low pressure over the middle mississippi river valley will
continue east into the ohio valley today, lifting a warm front
through the area. high pressure will build in over the great
lakes for saturday and linger for the first half of sunday. low
pressure over the midwest on sunday will move over the northern
lakes and extend a warm front over the area on sunday evening. a
cold front will cross the area on monday.


.near term /through saturday/...
scattered rain showers remain limited to areas along and east of
interstate 71. have tweaks pops to have higher probabilities in
this area and decreasing as rain is clearing out from west to
east. some rain is still expected to linger in far ne oh/nw pa
but not as long as initially anticipated.

previous discussion...
weak low pressure over the st. louis area this morning will
continue east along a stationary front near the ohio river. as
the low moves east, this front will lift north as a warm front
and cross the area today. this morning, scattered rain showers
will continue across the area and lift northeast with the front.
some dry air has actually intruded over portions of western ohio
and this may limit much of the rain to be off to the eastern
half of the area. rain will be possible until the front lifts
north of the area and the mid-level trough axis passes east of
the area. therefore, have chance pops through the afternoon
hours as the trough axis is east of the afternoon later this
afternoon. the warm front may linger near the lake through the
evening however, so have a slight chance pop in ne ohio and nw
pa through sunset or so. with the warm front crossing the area
today, expect temperatures across the area to be several degrees
warmer than thursday with highs in the upper 50s throughout the
area with perhaps in the lower 60s in central ohio.

high pressure builds in on friday night into saturday over the
great lakes region as some subsidence moves in behind the upper
trough. expecting warmer temperatures in the 60s on saturday
with dry and partly cloudy conditions in place. with high
pressure over the area, a lake breeze seems likely to develop so
high temperatures in the ne oh/nw pa lakeshore on saturday will
be early in the day before cooling down into the 50s, as lake
temperatures remain frigid.


.short term /saturday night through monday night/...
high pressure will build east on saturday night with a period of
mostly clear skies during the evening allowing for favorable cooling
in ne oh/nw pa. min temperatures will likely dip back into the lower
40s in the east while western sites remain closer to 50.

by sunday we turn our attention to a trough lifting out of the
plains into the western great lakes. despite the thickening cloud
cover, south to southeast flow and warm advection should push most
locations into the mid 60s to near 70 degrees for highs. moisture
increases during the day but will take some time to moisten the low
levels before we see rain reaching the ground. with that said,
portions of nw ohio may see rain developing by mid afternoon while
it takes until evening to reach portions of northeast ohio. rain
chances will be aided by a 50+ knot low level jet overhead with
pretty good coverage of showers for all areas sunday night.
temperatures will remain mild sunday night and nudged values up
another degree or so. some slight timing differences develop by
monday as the ecmwf quickly lifts the upper level wave east of the
area with drying occurring on monday. the gfs is a little slower and
keeps showers around on monday, especially across southern and
eastern portions of the area. trended pops down a touch but will
keep some chance going east of a findlay to cleveland line.


.long term /tuesday through thursday/...
by tuesday both the canadian and ecmwf show some degree of cold
advection and northwest flow off lake erie while the gfs is faster
with the next system and already showing increasing southwest flow
developing. have continued with the cooler solution given the better
consensus on tuesday but confidence is low this far out on the
pattern evolution. mostly dry weather is expected tuesday night and
wednesday with high pressure passing north of the lakes. more
interesting will be what appears to be a fairly strong low pressure
system moving east out of the plains wednesday into thursday. models
all have this feature but with considerable spread in details. track
will have a big impact on temperatures as we first see a window of
east to northeast flow off lake erie before a strong warm front
lifts north into the region. forecast is fairly conservative at this
point with respect to temperatures favoring a blended approach as
small differences in track could mean big differences. chances of
showers and thunderstorms return as early as thursday.


.aviation /12z friday through tuesday/...
scattered, vfr rain showers remain limited to areas from line
from kcle to kcmh and east. the trend for these showers will be
to continue pushing east of the area with ceilings remaining
vfr in the wake of the rain. some breaks in the clouds may
occur in the afternoon and evening hours, but ceilings 5000 ft
or lower will likely remain. with sunset, some lower stratus or
even fog may develop over the area late tonight and ceilings
will trend slowly downward. haven`t gone as pessimistic as ifr,
but pockets of ifr are possible early saturday morning.

winds have begun shifting around to the southeast this morning
and will continue to the southwest later today. with the shift
to southeast winds, some gusts to 25 knots are possible along
the lakeshore with downsloping. this would mostly be an issue at

outlook...non-vfr in fog and stratus possible into saturday
morning. non-vfr possible in showers sunday evening into monday.


some observations on the west end of lake erie were still
reporting winds over 20 knots as of 4 am so extended the small
craft advisory until 8 am. the gradient will tend to relax as
low pressure approaches from the lower ohio valley with winds
and waves decreasing over the next few hours. water levels on
the western basin have also been up overnight but have started
to fall now and should continue to go down. southeasterly
downsloping winds off of erie pa may get a little brisk today
but expected to remain below 20 knots.

high pressure will expand across the great lakes tonight into
saturday then shift to new england on sunday bringing a stretch of
good marine conditions. low pressure will pass north of lake erie
sunday night into monday with southwesterly winds increasing to 10-
20 knots. there will be a strong low level jet aloft but the stable
marine layer should keep stronger winds from mixing down.


.cle watches/warnings/advisories...


"93% of Paint Splatters Are Valid Perl Programs ("

Hah, that's so funny. [eyeroll].

This is better Perl humor.

interesting strategy by the guardian, but will it have a positive impact on the mentally lazy who can't be bothered with details?

Mediagazer headline:

Modifying metadata to highlight publication dates, like the Guardian is doing, is one of several ways of better contextualizing articles shared on social media

Hopefully, these draconian ideas for combating unacceptable online speech never reach the U.S.

Australia passes law penalizing content service providers and hosting services for failing to quickly remove abhorrent violent content, despite tech opposition

Do media orgs count as content service providers? Does this prevent the media from covering news and displaying edited content related to such content?

So I assume this also means that newspaper editors and executives will become criminally liable for broadcasting videos depicting violent content?

"YouTube, Facebook and Twitter execs face jail in Australia if they fail to remove violent material"

It would be hilarious if Big Tech blocked access to their services for IP addresses that originate from Australia. Problem solved. Win-win.

Australia leads "developed democracies" in the adoption of poorly thought-through, dangerous tech laws, thanks to its ban on working cryptography, rushed through in late 2018; now, with no debate or consultation, the Australian Parliament has passed a law that gives tech companies one hour to remove "violent materials" from their platforms with penalties for noncompliance of up to 10% of annual global turnover.

This is a catastrophe for the global internet. Between Australia's crypto ban, the EU Copyright Directive and now the panicked passage of a napkin-doodle into national law, we are watching the high-speed Chinafication of the western internet in realtime.

Another disaster.

Social media bosses could be liable for harmful content, leaked UK plan reveals

Tim Berners-Lee constantly whines about the web today, even though he does not maintain his own personal website. Maybe he should focus his complaining on these governmental ideas that could limit freedoms for everyone.

The media probably loves these overreaching government regulations because it could help the media relive their glory, ancient days when the media were the gatekeepers of information.

This is unbelievable:

Social media executives could be held personally liable for harmful content distributed on their platforms, leaked plans for a long-awaited government crackdown obtained by the Guardian reveal.

It would hilarious if Facebook blocked access to IP addresses that originated from the UK. Boom. Problem solved for the UK.

"Dan Robbins, artist who created the paint-by-numbers idea in Detroit, dies at 93 ("

Dear Mozilla, please stop spamming (

"Borrell report: Facebook, Google made up 70% of the $60B in local digital ad spending in 2018; TV comprised 9% of local ad spend, beating newspapers, a first"

What were the stats like in 1999, 1989, 1979, 1969, 1959? I'd like to see the trend and changes.

"Snap emphasizes that its approach to privacy is different than others as it adds integrations like sharing buttons, with The Washington Post as a launch partner"

Of course the media chase every new shiny object, dangled by the social media orgs.

Apr 5, 2019

This not locally-focused, but it's another example of media hypocrisy, which involves the media trashing big tech social media silos while at the same time, the media heavily uses and relies upon big tech to help their businesses.

It's always hilarious to see a journalist use Twitter to criticize Facebook. How do these people not see the irony in their actions?

Yeah, I hate metrics in journalism because in my opinion, it appears that journalists create stories that satisfy the metrics, instead of informing the readers.

From the story:

For as long as I can remember, journalism metrics in general, and particularly reach metrics—like pageviews and unique users—have been the subject of profound suspicion within the news industry. In recent years, the negativity has intensified, even from people I generally admire.

Metrics have come to be synonymous, for some people, with a bankrupt journalistic culture that demands reporters become, effectively, telemarketers — churning out sharpened stories that game search engines and social media and play on the hopes and fears of readers to get the most clicks.

That's all true, correct?

Some of the contempt is founded on a sensible desire to refocus metrics toward growing journalism as a business—by, for instance, focusing on why readers subscribe or donate. Some of it is based on genuine questions about the inevitable fakery that takes place when opaque numbers are tied directly to money from advertisers, and on the effects of turning journalists into quota-meeting automatons with live league tables for stories.

But a lot of it is nonsense.

It is? The first four paragraphs of the article were devoted to what seems like reality. Whatever.

Here's the reason why I'm excerpting this story. The Guardian loves to trash Facebook. Fact-based criticism of Facebook is valid, but the Guardian has grown ridiculous with its piling on over the past year.

Okay, fine. The Guardian dislikes Facebook. But ...

At 7am on Tuesday, March 18, Nick Dastoor, a member of The Guardian’s audience team, started working on the daily staff email that details how our audience responded to our stories the day before, and what we might learn from that.

First of all, that seems like publishing to satisfy the metrics. How is that nonsensical as the article author stated earlier?

More from the article:

He opened Ophan, the analytics tool that allows us to track stories in minute detail. He noticed a sustained spike in page views to an article about a church bombing in Pakistan.

He could tell that the 51,000 pageviews had come almost entirely from Facebook, that the audience was mainly viewing the story on their mobile phones, that the audience was global and mostly new to us, that we weren’t promoting the story ourselves, and that it was likely driven by niche Facebook pages.

The media desires referral traffic from Facebook. Does the Guardian Did the Guardian publish the story to Facebook? Does the Guardian display social media sharing links within their article pages?

If a reader copy and pasted the story URL into Facebook, then obviously, the media org can do nothing about that. But if the media orgs are actively using, posting to, and encouraging sharing to social media, then that seems hypocritical.

Many readers were spending just seconds on the 942-word story. It was clear to Dastoor that whatever was happening wasn’t about the journalism itself.

The media should disengage from social media. Let readers manually copy the stories to their social media pages.

Apart from the fact that the authors of the tweets were condemning the mainstream media for not covering an event while linking to a mainstream media site covering the event, there was one other significant problem. The article was from 2013 and none of them seemed to know it.

Then why do media orgs do everything they can to be connected to social media if that many lazy people exist?